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Date:  Mon, 31 Jul 2000 16:42:00 +0900
From:  Tetsuzo YASUNARI <yasunari@atm.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp>
Subject:  [game-jp:0196] Dr. Shukla 来日講演
To:  game-jp@ihas.nagoya-u.ac.jp, atmos-note@air.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp
Cc:  harumi@frontier.esto.or.jp
Message-Id:  <200007310741.QAA01779@atm.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp>
X-Mail-Count: 00196

GAME関係者、モンスーン研究関係者各位:


米国Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies(COLA)所長の

Dr.J.
Shuklaが8月15日、地球フロンティア主催のIGCRセミナーにて講演を行います。

講演題目は

"Seasonal Predictability:ENSO and PNA" 及び 

"Monsoon Researchat COLA"です。


外部の方も参加できますので、ご興味のある方は、御誘い合わせの上、

ご参加くださいますようよろしくお願い致します。


ご参考までに以下に本セミナーの案内を添付いたします。


秋庭

FRSGC



************IGCR Formal Seminar **********************

 Dr. J. Shukla, Director of COLA will give us two lectures on 15 Aug.

2000 as shown below.

The first one will be the IGCR Formal Seminar and  the second

is informal, especially for those who are interested in monsoons.


Speaker: Dr. J. Shukla

    Professor, George Mason University (GMU)

    Director, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA)


Date & time: 14:00~16:15 Tue. August 15, 2000


Title:14:00~15:00 Seasonal Predictability: ENSO and PNA

      15:00~15:15 Break

      15:15~16:15 monsoon research at COLA


Place: IGCR Seminar room


Abstract:

 "Seasonal Predictability: ENSO and PNA"


The problems and prospects for dynamical seasonal prediction are

reviewed.

It is shown that as models have improved, the seasonal predictions and

the

estimates of predictability have also improved.


It is found that winter mean circulation over the Pacific-North
American

regions is highly predicable during strong ENSO events.  However, it
is

shown that contrary to the conventional wisdom that the ENSO forces
PNA,

the

ENSO forced circulation over the Pacific-North American region is

distinctly

different from PNA.


Profile:

Dr. J. Shukla, Sc.D., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1976,

Ph.D.,

Benaras Hindu University, 1971. President, IGES; Prof. Earth Sciences

and

Global Change, George Mason University. Dr. Shukla conducts research
on

predictability of the coupled ocean-atmosphere-biosphere system,

predictability of the tropical atmosphere, monsoon dynamics,
reanalysis,

deforestation and desertification. His research has shown that the

influence

of boundary conditions at the earth surface provides a physical basis

for

predictability of climate in the midst of chaos. Dr. Shukla, was a

Junior

Scientific officer at IITM, Poona, post-doctoral research associate at

Princeton University, visiting associate professor at MIT, senior

research

scientist at NASA Goddard, and a professor of meteorology at the

University

of Maryland (1983-1993). He is author/coauthor of 150 scientific
papers,

reports and book chapters; thesis adviser/ coadviser for 14 Ph.D.

students;

chair/member of national and international scientific committees. He
is

an

associate Fellow of the Third World Academy of Sciences.


-----------------------------

安成哲三


筑波大学地球科学系

〒305-8571  つくば市天王台1-1-1

TEL:  0298-53-4399

FAX:  0298-51-9764

e-mail: yasunari@atm.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp